Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.137265 3.312899 3.498875 3.711469 3.949025 4.207809 4.513120
2025-03-23 2.846601 3.081531 3.342318 3.656579 4.029657 4.464687 5.020214
2025-03-30 2.610545 2.880129 3.190602 3.581134 4.069319 4.674546 5.508637
2025-04-06 2.405579 2.693795 3.035610 3.481043 4.063078 4.825616 5.956275
2025-04-13 2.218651 2.512854 2.869769 3.348133 3.996353 4.886736 6.297629
2025-04-20 2.127217 2.440731 2.831169 3.372187 4.138733 5.257398 7.198395
2025-04-27 2.053045 2.383816 2.805897 3.409671 4.303748 5.693457 8.364139
2025-05-04 2.003705 2.354341 2.812927 3.490980 4.544022 6.302664 10.142375
2025-05-11 1.940441 2.301659 2.783538 3.515741 4.700119 6.810519 12.045416
2025-05-18 1.869618 2.234063 2.727887 3.494871 4.778014 7.196746 13.978398
2025-05-25 1.779562 2.135313 2.621644 3.386584 4.691918 7.238361 14.981012
2025-06-01 1.708828 2.059625 2.543791 3.315893 4.662759 7.395297 16.574231
2025-06-08 1.626149 1.968231 2.444657 3.214493 4.586443 7.481528 18.323053
2025-06-15 1.578685 1.924045 2.412287 3.218865 4.710131 8.087128 23.890625
2025-06-22 1.527027 1.871448 2.364289 3.193409 4.774688 8.587659 31.260862
2025-06-29 1.471698 1.811088 2.301135 3.136973 4.769775 8.912042 40.084138
2025-07-06 1.411813 1.741708 2.220651 3.044431 4.677764 8.958208 47.490161
2025-07-13 1.385802 1.720319 2.212721 3.078025 4.861627 9.971405 102.709972
2025-07-20 1.363322 1.702911 2.209713 3.119959 5.074180 11.265898 2094.216970
2025-07-27 1.349447 1.697434 2.225008 3.196940 5.388670 13.323243 NaN
2025-08-03 1.326314 1.676882 2.214546 3.224063 5.588775 15.182494 NaN
2025-08-10 1.296987 1.645657 2.184763 3.210742 5.681583 16.651904 NaN
2025-08-17 1.255321 1.594126 2.118984 3.121054 5.550490 16.585087 NaN